Cautious optimism as rate cut bets rise, gold at new highs
Today’s Market Insights: Wednesday, 15.10.2025
📈 Market Mood:
Neutral to bullish with markets rebounding on Fed rate cut expectations, even as U.S.-China trade tensions keep risk appetite in check.
🗓 Today’s Key Events:
13:30 London / 08:30 New York - U.S. Empire State Manufacturing Index - fresh look at U.S. industrial activity.
20:45 London / 15:45 New York - RBA Gov Bullock Speaks - key for AUD and Asia-Pacific sentiment.
🌐 Market Moving News:
Asia shares rebound, dollar eases as Powell keeps Fed cut door open.
S&P 500 remains volatile, profit-taking after rally; Q3 earnings upgrades support broader trend.
Gold climbs to fresh all-time highs above $4,170 on ongoing safe-haven demand.
Asset Snapshots:
⚪ S&P 500: Neutral - Oscillating on profit-taking and mixed global cues, but earnings upgrades give support.
🔴 USD (DXY): Bearish - Dollar index drops below 99 as Fed rate cut bets build.
🟢 Gold: Bullish - Surging to new records as inflation hedges and global uncertainty linger.
🔴 Oil: Bearish - Edged down over 1% amid U.S.-China trade worries and OPEC in spotlight.
⚪ Bitcoin: Neutral - Rangebound, struggling to match momentum in gold.
Bias Meter:
⚖️ Neutral - Market is cautiously optimistic on Fed cuts, but trade risks and earnings keep traders balanced.
Price Action Notes:
Gold strength may persist as safe-haven flow continues.
Watch if the VIX holds above 20 - could signal more downside ahead.
Oil below $63 suggests momentum remains bearish short-term.
Volatility Watch (VIX)
20.80 - up 9.4% on the day, signaling renewed caution and hedging in equities.
What’s the one move you’re watching today?
Trade smart and enjoy the ride.
Disclaimer:
This newsletter is for information only and not financial advice. Markets carry risk, and past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research or consult a qualified advisor before making investment decisions.