Markets Hold Breath for Fed and Tech Earnings
Today’s Market Insights: Wednesday, 29.10.2025
📈 Market Mood:
Neutral to cautiously bullish. Risk appetite remains supported by tech optimism and soft inflation data, but all eyes are on the Fed’s policy tone.
🗓 Today’s Key Events:
13:45 London / 09:45 New York - Bank of Canada Rate Decision - expected to cut to 2.25% from 2.50%; markets watch the statement for hints of further easing.
14:00 London / 10:00 New York - U.S. Pending Home Sales (m/m) - key housing indicator ahead of the Fed’s statement.
18:00 London / 14:00 New York - Federal Funds Rate + FOMC Statement - expected 4.00% from 4.25%; focus on whether Powell signals more cuts.
18:30 London / 14:30 New York - FOMC Press Conference - Powell’s comments could drive volatility across USD, equities, and gold.
🌐 Market Moving News:
Asia stocks rise on AI optimism as investors prepare for Fed and Big Tech earnings.
Dollar weakens ahead of expected Fed cut, while Aussie gains after strong CPI.
Japan’s Nikkei crosses 51,000 for the first time, driven by tech strength.
Oil prices slip on easing Middle East risk but trade stays volatile.
Asset Snapshots:
🟢 S&P 500: Bullish - strong tech momentum continues ahead of earnings.
🔴 USD (DXY): Bearish - under pressure before the Fed meeting.
🟢 Gold: Bullish - hovering near $4,000 amid dovish expectations.
🟢 Oil: Bullish - boosted by inventory draw and stable demand.
⚪ Bitcoin: Neutral - consolidating near highs, mirroring risk sentiment.
Bias Meter:
⚪ Neutral. Short-term direction hinges entirely on the Fed’s tone; dovish comments could ignite a renewed rally.
Price Action Notes:
Monitor gold at ~$4,000 – a firm below could signal further downside in safe-haven assets.
Track USD strength/weakness around Fed decision; a sharp dollar move could impact commodities and risk assets.
Volatility Watch (VIX)
16.41 (+3.86%) - slight uptick ahead of major central bank decisions, signaling cautious hedging.
What’s the one move you’re watching today?
Trade smart and enjoy the ride.
Disclaimer:
This newsletter is for information only and not financial advice. Markets carry risk, and past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research or consult a qualified advisor before making investment decisions.