Markets Rise on Dollar Weakness, Eyes on U.S. Shutdown Risk
Today’s Market Insights: Monday, 29.9.2025
📈 Market Mood:
Slightly bullish. Equities and safe havens are up, supported by a weaker dollar, but uncertainty around U.S. budget talks and global trade remains
🗓 Today’s Key Events:
12:30 London / 07:30 New York - Fed Gov Christopher Waller speaks at Sibos (payments + policy tone)
15:00 London / 10:00 New York - US Pending Home Sales (Aug): key housing demand read.
🌐 Market Moving News:
Asian markets mostly rose as the dollar dipped, with stocks supported by hopes the U.S. avoids a shutdown.
Oil slipped ~1% after crude flows from Iraqi Kurdistan resumed; OPEC+ likely to approve further output increases.
Trade policy uncertainty globally is increasing, especially with shifting tariffs and rules that may disrupt supply chains.
Asset Snapshots:
🟢 S&P 500: Bullish - futures up ~0.3%.
🔴 USD (DXY): Bearish - index slipping near 98.
🟢 Gold: Bullish - reaching near record levels
🔴 Oil: Bearish - WTI ~ $65, down ~1%.
🟢 Bitcoin: Bullish - holding above $110,000, trading ~ $112,000.
Bias Meter:
⚖️ Neutral - upside in stocks and gold is balanced by risks from U.S. shutdown and global trade policy shifts.
Price Action Notes:
Watch S&P 500 breaking above Monday’s highs - could confirm more upside.
Dollar slip below 98 may accelerate flows into gold, crypto, and emerging markets.
Oil is sensitive to headlines - any signs of rising supply could push prices lower
Volatility Watch (VIX)
The VIX shows expected stock market volatility
What’s the one move you’re watching today?
Trade smart and enjoy the ride.
Disclaimer:
This newsletter is for information only and not financial advice. Markets carry risk, and past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research or consult a qualified advisor before making investment decisions.